ON THE RECORDSealed
The ECB cuts rates at its July meeting
I predict the ECB lowers the deposit facility rate at its July 2026 Governing Council monetary-policy meeting.
sealed by author
The record leans NO at 30%.
The author’s own sealed number — crowd consensus appears from 5 forecasters.
Your forecast — on the record
65%it happens
Exact conditions — sealed & immutable
- Resolves YES if the ECB’s official press release from the July 2026 monetary-policy meeting announces a reduction of the deposit facility rate.
- Any cut size counts. A hold, or no July monetary-policy decision, resolves NO.
- Source of truth: ecb.europa.eu press releases.
sealed 2026-07-01#47115139sha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it
Forecasters — 4 on the record
Core services inflation is still sticky. July is a hold; September is the live meeting.
Hold. The ECB never pre-empts the Fed in a quiet July.
No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.
Discussion — no comments