ON THE RECORDSealed
A top-3 seed wins the Wimbledon 2026 men’s title
I predict the Wimbledon 2026 gentlemen’s singles champion is one of the tournament’s top 3 seeds.
n=7
The record leans YES at 61%.
Crowd consensus from 7 forecasters — log-odds pool, shown honestly with n.
Your forecast — on the record
65%it happens
Exact conditions — sealed & immutable
- Resolves YES if the champion was seeded 1, 2, or 3 in the official draw.
- Any other champion resolves NO. If the final is not completed by the deadline, resolves VOID.
- Source of truth: wimbledon.com official results.
sealed 2026-07-01#b7f97d21sha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it
Forecasters — 7 on the record
Grass shortens the field. Top-3 seeds have won roughly two of every three opens this century.
Draws break. 48%.
No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.
Discussion — no comments